Pharco 0-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.95
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
15.2 Crosses 22.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zamalek
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
225 Passes 434
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.07.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.06.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
04.12.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.07.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.06.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 3-1 Pharco Pharco MSRK
06.02.2023 Pharco Pharco 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
0-1
AWAY Zamalek
0.34 xG 0.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
231 Passes 273
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek edged past Pharco 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pharco had 47% of the ball to Zamalek's 53%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.34 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pharco and 1.33 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Zamalek?

Pharco 0-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pharco 30%, draw 26%, Zamalek 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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