Halmstad 2-2 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.4
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.96
X/2
11%
5.1
X/X
11%
3.95
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.88
-5% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
17.1 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kalmar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 517
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 5-2 HT 1-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
05.11.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 3-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
23.04.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
19.09.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
14.08.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
20.09.2017 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
2-2
AWAY Kalmar
1.30 xG 0.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
333 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad and Kalmar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Halmstad had 46% of the ball to Kalmar's 54%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halmstad and 1.67 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Kalmar?

Halmstad 2-2 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halmstad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 37%, draw 28%, Kalmar 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Halmstad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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