Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
18%
4.6
X/2
7%
7.33
X/X
14%
5.11
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.11
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 31%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.74/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.65
-20% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
32.0 Crosses 22.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.18 xG 0.10
53% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
37 Passes
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.07.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
22.02.2020 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-1
AWAY Göteborg
1.50 xG 2.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
311 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 39
28 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK and Göteborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasteras SK FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 49% of the ball to Göteborg's 51%, shots finished 17-25, expected goals 1.50 to 2.85.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Göteborg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.50 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Göteborg?

Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 46%, draw 26%, Göteborg 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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