Espanyol vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Espanyol v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Espanyol vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 0-1
Espanyol
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
5-1
HT 3-0
Espanyol
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Espanyol
İS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Villarreal
İS1
Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal squeezed past Espanyol 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Espanyol had 56% of the ball to Villarreal's 44%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.41 to 1.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Espanyol and 2.00 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Villarreal?
Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 29%, draw 26%, Villarreal 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.