Las Palmas 1-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 26 Sep 2024

Las Palmas
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Betis
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Las Palmas vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.36
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
13%
7.19
X/2
19%
4.61
X/X
8%
4.31
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.85
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +28%
1.31/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.28
+21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.4 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Las Palmas vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Betis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
434 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
26.11.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
07.08.2019 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
19.04.2018 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
03.12.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
09.04.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Las Palmas 1-1 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY Real Betis
1.00 xG 1.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
471 Passes 370
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Real Betis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 55% of the ball to Real Betis's 45%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.00 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Real Betis?

Las Palmas 1-1 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 34%, draw 23%, Real Betis 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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