Alianza 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Sep 2024

Alianza
3-0 HT 1-0
Luis Angel Firpo
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Luis Angel Firpo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.80/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.31
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2 Corners 7
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
29.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
22.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
24.04.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Luis Angel Firpo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza and 0.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Alianza 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alianza 54%, draw 23%, Luis Angel Firpo 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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