Darmstadt 98 2-0 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.33
Over Pick
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.69
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
25%
2.72
6+
12%
7.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.15
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
21%
4.42
X/2
7%
9.2
X/X
7%
6.31
2/1
9%
19.55
2/2
10%
6.52
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.73/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.91
-15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.7 Crosses 20.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
367 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-3 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
26.02.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
19.09.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
22.12.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-3 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
07.02.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-3 HT 1-3 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
23.08.2019 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
2-0
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
0.76 xG 0.45
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 got the better of Dynamo Dresden 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 39% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 61%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.76 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 0.67 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden?

Darmstadt 98 2-0 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 56%, draw 20%, Dynamo Dresden 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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