Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
11.85
X/1
12%
5.96
X/2
16%
6.0
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.55
2/X
10%
11.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.78/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.33
+26% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
20.0 Crosses 18.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
19.09.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
22.12.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-3 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
07.02.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-3 HT 1-3 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
23.08.2019 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
23.02.2019 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-3
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.81 xG 2.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
24 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 7
20 Corners 5
407 Passes 556
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 28
53 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 nicked a narrow win over Dynamo Dresden 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 45% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 55%, shots finished 24-20, expected goals 1.81 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?

Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - DFB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 33%, draw 27%, Darmstadt 98 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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