Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-3
Freiburg
AFK
1-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL1
2-2
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Freiburg
AL1
Freiburg 2-1 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg squeezed past Hamburg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Freiburg had 48% of the ball to Hamburg's 52%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Freiburg and 0.83 for Hamburg.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Hamburg?
Freiburg 2-1 Hamburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Hamburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 50%, draw 23%, Hamburg 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.