Karabağ 2-0 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Sep 2025

Karabağ
2-0 HT 1-0
Qabala
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Karabağ vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
9%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
81%
-5.8pp
16%
Draw
13%
+3.2pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karabağ v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
2.63/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.56
+28% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Karabağ vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Qabala
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.12.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
28.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-4 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
04.12.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
25.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
08.05.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.03.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-3 HT 1-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ saw off Qabala 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Karabağ and 0.33 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Qabala?

Karabağ 2-0 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 75%, draw 16%, Qabala 9%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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26 Sep 2025
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