Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.35/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.02
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Minsk
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
09.11.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
22.06.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
14.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
26.05.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-1
AWAY FC Minsk
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and FC Minsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 57% of the ball to FC Minsk's 43%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.00 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 43%, draw 24%, FC Minsk 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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