Holywell 1-1 Y Rhyl 1879 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.28
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
74%
+5.4pp
11%
Draw
15%
-3.5pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.3pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Y Rhyl 1879 EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.83/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.00
+5% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
453 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Y Rhyl 1879
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell and Y Rhyl 1879 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holywell at 80% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Y Rhyl 1879?

Holywell 1-1 Y Rhyl 1879 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Y Rhyl 1879?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Holywell 80%, draw 11%, Y Rhyl 1879 9%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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