Cwmbran Celtic 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.45/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.49
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
07.03.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.11.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-6 HT 1-3 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
20.07.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-3 HT 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALLK
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic and Trethomas Bluebirds shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trethomas Bluebirds at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 3.33 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Cwmbran Celtic 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 23%, draw 25%, Trethomas Bluebirds 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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