Ammanford 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.95/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.79
+55% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.02.2025 Ammanford Ammanford 2-3 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
01.11.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
10.12.2021 Ammanford Ammanford 0-2 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
06.11.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford and Pontypridd Town AFC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ammanford and 3.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Ammanford 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 44%, draw 21%, Pontypridd Town AFC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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