Cwmbran Celtic 4-6 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.07.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-3 HT 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALLK
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds beat Cwmbran Celtic 6-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Cwmbran Celtic 4-6 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 25%, draw 27%, Trethomas Bluebirds 48%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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