Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.95/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.84
-18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
30.11.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-6 HT 1-3 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
20.07.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-3 HT 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALLK
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds squeezed past Cwmbran Celtic 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Trethomas Bluebirds and 3.00 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 58%, draw 23%, Cwmbran Celtic 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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