Trefelin 1-2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.51/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.18
-9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.02.2025 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1-3 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhiwceiber Rangers edged past Trefelin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trefelin at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Trefelin 1-2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 62%, draw 20%, Penrhiwceiber Rangers 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trefelin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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