Afan Lido 2-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
2.27/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.58
+26% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ammanford
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
3 Corners 5
04.01.2025 Ammanford Ammanford 5-1 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
15.03.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-4 HT 1-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.08.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
31.03.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 4-2 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
23.09.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
01.10.2021 Ammanford Ammanford 1-2 HT 0-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido squeezed past Ammanford 2-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Afan Lido found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Afan Lido and 2.50 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Ammanford?

Afan Lido 2-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 34%, draw 31%, Ammanford 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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