Taffs Well 0-1 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.70/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.47
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Newport City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.11.2024 Newport City Newport City 2-2 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City edged past Taffs Well 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Newport City?

Taffs Well 0-1 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 23%, draw 22%, Newport City 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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