Al-Qasim vs Baghdad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qasim v Baghdad — Team-Based Signals
Baghdad edged past Al-Qasim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al-Qasim at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Baghdad?
Al-Qasim 0-1 Baghdad in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Baghdad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qasim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 43%, draw 25%, Baghdad 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al-Qasim) went the other way.