Al Mosul vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Mosul v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals
Al Mosul squeezed past Al Najaf 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Mosul as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Mosul vs Al Najaf?
Al Mosul 2-1 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Mosul vs Al Najaf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mosul win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Mosul 44%, draw 24%, Al Najaf 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mosul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.