Naft Maysan 0-1 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-6.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharraf edged past Naft Maysan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Gharraf as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Gharraf?

Naft Maysan 0-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharraf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 25%, draw 34%, Al Gharraf 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharraf), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharraf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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