Estudiantes 1-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
4.95
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.97
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
7%
7.25
X/2
16%
4.6
X/X
16%
3.77
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.95
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 48%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.92/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.01
+119% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.0 Crosses 14.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.45 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 458
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-0
AWAY Flamengo
0.58 xG 0.68
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
225 Passes 461
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes edged past Flamengo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes had 36% of the ball to Flamengo's 64%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.58 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Flamengo?

Estudiantes 1-0 Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 31%, draw 31%, Flamengo 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Flamengo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LKU More Copa Libertadores
26 Sep 2025
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