Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
2-1
HT 2-0
Sao Paulo
CON CSA
4-2
HT 3-0
Sao Paulo
LKU
3-0
HT 2-0
LDU Quito
LKU
Sao Paulo 0-1 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito edged past Sao Paulo 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sao Paulo at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 75% of the ball to LDU Quito's 25%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 2.59 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sao Paulo.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.60 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito?
Sao Paulo 0-1 LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 67%, draw 19%, LDU Quito 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.