Ujpest 2-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 24%
-18% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.42/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.8 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.17 xG 1.11
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
510 Passes 152
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-2 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
22.02.2025 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.10.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
08.05.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-4 HT 1-3 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
24.10.2014 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 2-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-2
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.45 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
390 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza Spartacus couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ujpest had 58% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 42%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ujpest and 1.20 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Ujpest 2-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 54%, draw 24%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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