Sukhothai 1-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
2.15/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
+35% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
27.7 Crosses 11.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-3 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
30.11.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
02.03.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
02.10.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-1 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
25.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
01.10.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
1-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.05 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
221 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai and Chiangrai United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sukhothai had 47% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 53%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.05 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sukhothai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sukhothai and 1.17 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United?

Sukhothai 1-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 35%, draw 33%, Chiangrai United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sukhothai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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