Tochigi SC 1-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Japan - J3 League, 26 Sep 2026

📅26/09/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 20:23
Match Result
Home
39%
2.45
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tochigi SC The Market 41%
Signal
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
188 Passes 332
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
28.06.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
10.10.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
23.05.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
04.11.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
13.09.2020 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1 - 2
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Matsumoto Yamaga shaded a tight game against Tochigi SC 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Tochigi SC had 51% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 49%, shots finished 17-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.50 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga Result & Final Score

Tochigi SC 1 - 2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 26/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 39%, draw 29%, Matsumoto Yamaga 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
26 Sep 2026
07:00 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →
08:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara Analysis →
09:00 Nara Club vs MIO Biwako Shiga Analysis →
11:00 Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano Analysis →
11:00 Kochi United vs Osaka Analysis →
11:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United Analysis →