Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Tochigi SC — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Japan - J3 League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 16:49
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga The Market 38%
Signal
AWAY Tochigi SC The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.48 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
395 Passes 183
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
10.10.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
23.05.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
04.11.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
13.09.2020 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
10.08.2014 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1 - 1
AWAY Tochigi SC
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
268 Passes 192
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tochigi SC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Matsumoto Yamaga and Tochigi SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A draw from a 32% / 31% / 37% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Matsumoto Yamaga had 55% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 45%, shots finished 11-18.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.50 for Tochigi SC.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tochigi SC Result & Final Score

Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tochigi SC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 32%, draw 31%, Tochigi SC 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tochigi SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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