Fukushima United 1-4 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.63/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.30
+25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.6 Crosses 22.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-0 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
29.09.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
20.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
09.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.04.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-3 HT 2-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
18.09.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
1-4
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
442 Passes 186
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano cruised past Fukushima United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fukushima United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Fukushima United had 65% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 35%, shots finished 20-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fukushima United and 1.17 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?

Fukushima United 1-4 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 41%, draw 29%, Parceiro Nagano 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fukushima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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