Barton Rovers 0-3 Folkestone Invicta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
33%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
6.11
2-3 Goals
43%
2.08
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
7%
5.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.11 — our 25% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
+11.1pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.2pp
33%
Away Win
54%
-21.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.4pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barton Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Folkestone Invicta EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Barton Rovers vs Folkestone Invicta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folkestone Invicta ran out comfortable winners over Barton Rovers 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Folkestone Invicta made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Barton Rovers vs Folkestone Invicta?

Barton Rovers 0-3 Folkestone Invicta in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barton Rovers vs Folkestone Invicta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barton Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Barton Rovers 35%, draw 32%, Folkestone Invicta 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barton Rovers)
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