Stockton Town 2-1 Newton Aycliffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.48
2-3 Goals
49%
2.01
4-5 Goals
20%
2.66
6+ Goals
7%
6.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.48 — our 24% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newton Aycliffe EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Newton Aycliffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town nicked a narrow win over Newton Aycliffe 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Newton Aycliffe?

Stockton Town 2-1 Newton Aycliffe in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Newton Aycliffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 52%, draw 21%, Newton Aycliffe 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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