Merthyr Town 4-0 Frome Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.2pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.2pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Frome Town EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.13/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/2.21
+42% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / -3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
493 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Frome Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.08.2024 Frome Town Frome Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Frome Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town swept aside Frome Town 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Frome Town?

Merthyr Town 4-0 Frome Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Frome Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 66%, draw 24%, Frome Town 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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