Frome Town 0-2 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

Frome Town
0-2 HT 0-0
Merthyr Town
📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Frome Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frome Town v Merthyr Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frome Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Frome Town vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town beat Frome Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Frome Town vs Merthyr Town?

Frome Town 0-2 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frome Town vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Frome Town 32%, draw 27%, Merthyr Town 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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