Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.7pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.99/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.43
+34% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
04.11.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 4-3 HT 1-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
28.10.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 0-3 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town FAK
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine and Basingstoke Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 3.33 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Basingstoke Town?

Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 36%, draw 27%, Basingstoke Town 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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