Everton 1-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

Everton
1-1 HT 0-0
Fulham
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Everton vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
9%
5.79
X/2
9%
5.62
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.6
2/X
11%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.23
-26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
20.8 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Everton vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fulham
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
304 Passes 417
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
19.12.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
12.08.2023 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
29.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
14.02.2021 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP

Everton 1-1 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-1
AWAY Fulham
0.79 xG 1.26
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
304 Passes 505
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Fulham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Everton had 40% of the ball to Fulham's 60%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.79 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Everton and 1.17 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Everton vs Fulham?

Everton 1-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Everton 36%, draw 28%, Fulham 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
26 Oct 2024
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