Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

Aston Villa
1-1 HT 0-0
Bournemouth
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
15%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.34
X/2
7%
8.75
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
9%
21.45
2/2
9%
6.08
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
2.12/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
+18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
18.8 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.88 xG 1.59
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
399 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
03.12.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-2 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
18.03.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
06.08.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
01.02.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-1 HT 2-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
17.08.2019 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-2 HT 0-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
1-1
AWAY Bournemouth
1.81 xG 0.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
362 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
7 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa and Bournemouth shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Aston Villa had 57% of the ball to Bournemouth's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aston Villa and 1.50 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Bournemouth?

Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 50%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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