Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 Oct 2024

Atalanta
6-1 HT 5-1
Hellas Verona
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Atalanta vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.33
Over Pick
61%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.9
2-3
39%
1.94
4-5
28%
2.79
6+
14%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
17%
3.5
X/2
8%
18.65
X/X
10%
7.8
2/1 ✗
14%
21.85
2/2
9%
14.3
2/X
6%
21.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 14% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Atalanta v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona The Market 14%
-9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
2.11/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.56
+19% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.8 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atalanta vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-2 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
20.05.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
28.08.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
18.04.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
12.12.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
6-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.44 xG 0.21
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
713 Passes 273
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 5
11 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Atalanta vs Hellas Verona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta overpowered Hellas Verona 6-1. Half-time: 5-1. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Atalanta had 69% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 31%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.44 to 0.21.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atalanta and 1.00 for Hellas Verona.

Atalanta vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score

Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 56%, draw 21%, Hellas Verona 23%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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