Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Oct 2024

Alcione
1-0 HT 1-0
Lumezzane
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Alcione vs Lumezzane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcione v Lumezzane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.56
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +90%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.4

Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
1-0
AWAY Lumezzane
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione edged past Lumezzane 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alcione found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alcione had 35% of the ball to Lumezzane's 65%, shots finished 5-19.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Lumezzane?

Alcione 1-0 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alcione 33%, draw 31%, Lumezzane 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lumezzane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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