Vicenza 3-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.65
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 36% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.61/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.85
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-2 HT 1-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTCK
10.02.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
30.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
3-0
AWAY Atalanta II
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza ran out comfortable winners over Atalanta II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Vicenza had 47% of the ball to Atalanta II's 53%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vicenza and 0.67 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Atalanta II?

Vicenza 3-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 49%, draw 29%, Atalanta II 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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