Würzburger Kickers 0-3 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/3.88
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Illertissen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 2-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
09.08.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-3 HT 1-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
10.04.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 1-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-6 HT 0-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen cruised past Würzburger Kickers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Würzburger Kickers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 0.75 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Illertissen?

Würzburger Kickers 0-3 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 46%, draw 26%, Illertissen 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5
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