Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.81/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.41
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Almagro
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
08.06.2024 Almagro Almagro 2-2 HT 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
01.10.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 4-3 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.06.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
16.02.2020 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza saw off Almagro 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.00 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almagro?

Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 59%, draw 22%, Almagro 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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