Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.8
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.67
No
69%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
52%
-17.6pp
39%
Draw
30%
+8.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.6pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
33%
-2.7pp
69%
BTTS No
67%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
0.99/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.95
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.06.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro squeezed past Defensores De Belgrano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 39% / 27% — and on the day Gimnasia Y Tiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 34%, draw 39%, Defensores De Belgrano 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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