Hvidovre 3-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.25
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
4.12
X/2
11%
8.58
X/X
10%
5.93
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
6%
15.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.12/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.67
+41% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.5 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
305 Passes 276
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
27.05.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-3 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
22.04.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
18.03.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 3-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
28.08.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
18.03.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
3-1
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.69 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
409 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre beat Vendsyssel FF 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hvidovre had 55% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 45%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.69 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hvidovre and 0.67 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Vendsyssel FF?

Hvidovre 3-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 53%, draw 22%, Vendsyssel FF 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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