Angers vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Angers v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals
Angers vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Angers
FR2
4-1
HT 1-1
Saint-Etienne
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Saint-Etienne
FR1
2-2
HT 0-1
Angers
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Saint-Etienne
FR1
Angers 4-2 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics
Angers beat Saint-Etienne 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Angers found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Angers had 42% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 58%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 2.96 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angers and 1.67 for Saint-Etienne.
What was the final score of Angers vs Saint-Etienne?
Angers 4-2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Angers vs Saint-Etienne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Angers 40%, draw 25%, Saint-Etienne 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.