Reims 1-2 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Oct 2024

Reims
1-2 HT 1-2
Brest
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 23% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.52
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.17
X/2
10%
8.04
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.33
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.72/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.39
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.2 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Reims vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Brest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 Passes 311
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
17.09.2023 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
09.04.2023 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
30.10.2022 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
20.02.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-1 Brest Brest FR1
17.10.2021 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1

Reims 1-2 Brest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
1-2
AWAY Brest
0.74 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
349 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest edged past Reims 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Reims had 53% of the ball to Brest's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.74 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Reims and 1.00 for Brest.

What was the final score of Reims vs Brest?

Reims 1-2 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Reims 45%, draw 24%, Brest 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Reims) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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