Lens vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lens v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Lens vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Lille
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Lille
FR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Lens
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Lens
FR1
2-2
HT 0-2
Lille
FRK
Lens 0-2 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Lille beat Lens 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Lille made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Lens had 58% of the ball to Lille's 42%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.09 to 1.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lens and 1.33 for Lille.
What was the final score of Lens vs Lille?
Lens 0-2 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lens vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lens 37%, draw 29%, Lille 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lens) went the other way.