26/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Black Leopards FC vs Durban City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
27%
Draw
31%
31%
Away Win
33%
55%
Under 2.5
65%
45%
Over 2.5
35%
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
52%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Black Leopards FC v Durban City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Black Leopards FC
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Durban City
EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
1.38/0.91
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
+28%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
285 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
329 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Black Leopards FC vs Durban City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Black Leopards FC edged past Durban City 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Black Leopards FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Black Leopards FC vs Durban City?
Black Leopards FC 2-1 Durban City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Black Leopards FC vs Durban City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Black Leopards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Black Leopards FC 43%, draw 27%, Durban City 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Black Leopards FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Black Leopards FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GAF1
More South Afrika - 1st Division
26 Oct 2024