Pretoria Callies 1-0 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.82/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pretoria Callies
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Baroka
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 1-1 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
02.12.2023 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 2-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
29.01.2023 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 1-1 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
14.09.2022 Baroka Baroka 3-1 HT 2-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
POST-MATCH Pretoria Callies vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pretoria Callies nicked a narrow win over Baroka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baroka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pretoria Callies and 1.75 for Baroka.

What was the final score of Pretoria Callies vs Baroka?

Pretoria Callies 1-0 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pretoria Callies vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pretoria Callies 29%, draw 29%, Baroka 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baroka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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