Casric Stars 2-3 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.40
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casric Stars
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Venda FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17.04.2024 Venda FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
10.12.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 3-1 HT 2-1 Venda FC GAF1
01.03.2023 Venda FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
POST-MATCH Casric Stars vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venda FC squeezed past Casric Stars 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Casric Stars at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casric Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Casric Stars and 0.67 for Venda FC.

What was the final score of Casric Stars vs Venda FC?

Casric Stars 2-3 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casric Stars vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casric Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Casric Stars 49%, draw 30%, Venda FC 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Casric Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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