Dugopolje 1-1 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 28%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.78/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.61
-45% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
01.06.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-1 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje and Bijelo Brdo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dugopolje at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dugopolje and 1.50 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo?

Dugopolje 1-1 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 47%, draw 26%, Bijelo Brdo 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
26 Oct 2024
14:50 Rudes vs HNK Cibalia Analysis →